中国民航大学学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (6): 31-36.

• 未来机场及智能装备 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于图卷积神经网络的航站楼旅客流时空分布预测

丁新伟1,秦倩1,阚犇2,刘骐畅2,贾驰2   

  • 收稿日期:2022-05-18 修回日期:2022-06-28 出版日期:2024-01-12 发布日期:2024-01-12
  • 作者简介:丁新伟(1976—),男,北京人,高级工程师,硕士,研究方向为机场运行管理.

Prediction of spatiotemporal distribution of passenger flow in terminal building based on graph convolutional neural network#br#

DING Xinwei 1 , QIN Qian1 , KAN Ben2 , LIU Qichang2 , JIA Chi 2   

  • Received:2022-05-18 Revised:2022-06-28 Online:2024-01-12 Published:2024-01-12

摘要: 针对航站楼旅客空间分布随时间变化难以准确预测的问题,提出一种基于图卷积神经网络的旅客流时空分布预测方法。首先构造各时间切片内的旅客流时间分布矩阵及区域邻接矩阵,获得空间特征矩阵,然后结合输入门控循环单元提取航站楼旅客流特征矩阵,参照登机口变化引起的客流特征矩阵进行线性整合,并得到空间区域最终的旅客流特征矩阵,最后基于国内某枢纽机场实际数据开展验证分析。结果表明,所提方法与传统模型相比拟合优度提高了7%~10%,为航站楼旅客运行资源保障及综合交通运力的策略优化提供有效支撑。

关键词: font-size:15.04px, ">航空运输, 特征矩阵, 门控循环单元, 图卷积神经网络, 航站楼旅客流预测

Abstract:

Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to accurately predict the spatial distribution of passengers in the terminal building over time, a prediction method of the spatiotemporal distribution of passenger flow is proposed based on graph convolutional neural network. Firstly, the time distribution matrix of passenger flow and regional adjacency matrix within each time slice is constructed to obtain the spatial feature matrix. The characteristic matrix of passenger flow in terminal building is extracted combining with the input gated recurrent unit, and performs linear integration with reference to the characteristic matrix of passenger flow caused by the change of the boarding gate.

Then, the final characteristic matrix of passenger flow of the space area is obtained. Finally, validation analysis is conducted based on actual data from a domestic hub airport. The results show that the proposed method improves the goodness of fit by 7% to 10% compared to the traditional models, providing effective support for the strategic optimization of passenger operation resource guarantee and comprehensive transportation capacity in terminal building.

Key words: font-size:15.04px, ">air transport, characteristic matrix, gated recurrent unit, graph convolutional neural network, passenger flow prediction in terminal building

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