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Analysis of air traffic delay propagation based on Bayesian networks

ZHAO Yi-fei,MA Le-chuan,WANG Hong-yong   

  1. (Tianjin Key Laboratory for Air Traffic Operation Planning and Safety Technology,CAUC,Tianjin 300300,China)
  • Received:2012-05-04 Revised:2012-08-10 Online:2013-02-23 Published:2014-05-23

Abstract:

Based on Bayesian networks delay model,is the delay spread airport network modelis. By calculating the conditional probability of network,finally get the joint probability,is used to analyze the effects of delays propagation between the airport. The experiment data show that,when an airport departure delays produced,the delay will not disappear,but after a time spread to other airports,causing other airport delays.

Key words: Bayesian networks, flight delay, delay propagation

CLC Number: