Research on flight crew error prediction based on task analysis

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Research on flight crew error prediction based on task analysis

YU Yan¹,YANG Kun²,CHU Jing-hua¹

(1. Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China,Ltd.,Shanghai 200120,China;2. Civil Aircraft Airworthiness and
Maintenance Key Lab of Tianjin,CAUC,Tianjin 300300,China)

Received:2014-05-15 Revised:2014-06-03 Online:2014-10-18 Published:2014-09-23

Abstract

Abstract:

A number of serious accidents were caused by flight crew errors in the past 20 years. Therefore,figuring out how to prevent or reduce flight crew errors is crucial to the reduction of aviation accident rate. It is feasible to find out the reasons for flight crew errors using human error prediction technology，then to improve cockpit design and carry out more flight crew trainings. Considering the demand for civil aviation safety，a flight crew error prediction model is developed based on current human error prediction techniques. Take off task is analyzed and flight crew errors are predicted both qualitatively and quantitatively in case study.

Key words: flight crew, human error prediction, flight task

CLC Number:

V328

YU Yan,YANG Kun,CHU Jing-hua. Research on flight crew error prediction based on task analysis[J]. .

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