中国民航大学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (2): 32-40.

• 民机安全性与适航 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于 TEM 模型的空管安全信息相关性分析

  

  1. 1. 中国民航大学空中交通管理学院,天津 300300;2. 中国民用航空华东地区管理局,上海 200335
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-25 修回日期:2024-05-16 出版日期:2026-04-30 发布日期:2026-05-06
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(U2133207);民航华东空管局科技项目(KJ2101)

Correlation analysis of air traffic control safety information based on TEM model

  1. 1. College of Air Traffic Management, CAUC, Tianjin 300300, China; 2. CAAC East China Regional Administration, Shanghai 200335, China
  • Received:2024-03-25 Revised:2024-05-16 Online:2026-04-30 Published:2026-05-06
  • About author:王洁宁(1966— ),男,甘肃兰州人,教授,博士,研究方向为空管运行安全及空管系统仿真.

摘要: 针对空管系统危险源控制清单中关键信息识别与潜在隐患管理的问题,本文提出了一种基于威胁与差 错管理(TEM,threat and error management)模型的空管安全信息相关性分析方法。首先,依据 TEM 模型 的内在分类构建 TEM 模型本体;其次,利用信息抽取技术从危险源控制清单文本中抽取结构化事件,利用 深度自编码器网络模型和改进的余弦相似度公式进行文本语义相似度匹配;最后,基于贝叶斯网络对 TEM 模型本体类别的概率关系进行定量分析,得到威胁、差错和非期望的航空器状态之间的相关性。通过对民 航空管系统危险源控制清单中数据的实例分析,识别并抽取出了文本中的关键信息、与空管运行安全强相 关的实体词和事件类型,基于抽取结果对空管各运行环节安全性的提升提出合理建议

关键词: 空管安全管理, 威胁与差错管理模型, 模型本体, 信息抽取, 相关性分析

Abstract: To address the problems of identifying key information and managing potential risks in the hazard control list of the air traffic control (ATC) system, this paper proposes a correlation analysis method for ATC safety information based on the Threat and Error Management (TEM) model. Firstly, the TEM model ontology is constructed according to the internal classification of the TEM model. Then, information extraction techniques are employed to extract structured events from the text of the hazard control list. The deep autoencoder network model and an improved cosine similarity formula are used to match the text semantic similarity. Finally, a Bayesian network is applied to quantitatively analyze the probabilistic relationships among the TEM ontology categories, obtaining the correlations between threats, errors, and undesired aircraft states. Through a case study using data from a civil aviation ATC hazard control list, key information, entity words and event types strongly related to ATC operational safety are identified and extracted. Based on the extraction results, reasonable suggestions are proposed for enhancing the safety of various ATC operational phases

Key words: air traffic control (ATC) safety management, threat and error management (TEM) model, ontology, information extraction, correlation analysis

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