中国民航大学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (5): 44-50.

• 民机安全性与适航 • 上一篇    下一篇

航空快件分类分级安检风险评估研究

  

  1. 中国民航大学安全科学与工程学院,天津 300300
  • 收稿日期:2024-05-04 修回日期:2023-06-25 出版日期:2025-11-17 发布日期:2025-11-17
  • 作者简介:赵振武(1977— ),男,天津人,副教授,博士,研究方向为民航安全管理研究
  • 基金资助:
    天津市教委科研计划项目(2021SK025)

Research on risk assessment of classification and grading security inspection for
aviation express

  1. College of Safety Science and Engineering, CAUC, Tianjin 300300, China
  • Received:2024-05-04 Revised:2023-06-25 Online:2025-11-17 Published:2025-11-17

摘要:

为应对不断增加的航空快件安检需求,保证航空快件运输时效,实现航空快件高效安检、安全运输,在传统安
检模式的基础上,首先,本文提出全货机航空快件分类分级安检模式,从威胁性、脆弱性、后果严重性 3 方面对
安检系统进行风险评估;其次,本文主要结合搜索-决策模型及安检员工作表现模型对脆弱性指标漏检率进行
定量计算,威胁性及后果严重性指标数据来源于事故数据统计规律。风险评估结果表明:全货机航空快件分类
分级安检系统风险值比传统快件安检系统降低了 29.77%,且在判图时间区间内,增加安检员决策时间对系统
漏检率和误检率影响较小,这可为全货机实施分类分级安检策略提供理论指导。

关键词:

Abstract:

To cope with the increasing demand for security inspection for aviation express, ensure the timeliness of aviation
express transportation, and achieve efficient security inspection and safe transportation of aviation express, on the
basis of the traditional security inspection mode, a classification and grading security inspection mode for all cargo aircraft aviation express is firstly proposed in this paper, and the risk assessment of the security inspection
system is conducted from three aspects, including threat, vulnerability, and consequence severity. Secondly, this
paper mainly combines the search-decision model and the work performance model of security inspector to
quantitatively calculate the vulnerability indicator missing rate, and the data of threat and consequence severity
indicators are derived from the statistical laws of accident data. The risk assessment results indicate that the risk
value of the classification and grading security inspection system for full cargo aircraft aviation express is reduced
by 29.77% compared to the traditional express security inspection systems, and increasing the time for security
inspectors to judge images within the time interval has little impact on the system′s missed detection rate and
false detection rate. This can provide theoretical guidance for implementing classification and grading security
inspection strategies for full cargo aircraft.

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