中国民航大学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (1): 25-31.

• 航空运输管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

不同地域特征下机场吞吐量驱动因素研究

  

  1. 1. 中国民航大学 a. 交通科学与工程学院;b. 教务处,天津 300300;2. 中国民航科学技术研究院,北京 100028
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-14 修回日期:2025-10-16 出版日期:2026-02-28 发布日期:2026-03-06
  • 作者简介:李龙海(1971— ),男,黑龙江虎林人,副教授,硕士,研究方向为机场运行、机场工程
  • 基金资助:
    天津市交通科技发展计划项目(2019-18);贵州省教育厅高等学校科学研究项目(青年项目)(黔教技[2022]272号)

Research on the driving factors of airport throughput under different regional characteristics

  1. 1a. College of Transportation Science and Engineering; 1b. A cademic Affairs Office, CAUC, Tianjin 300300, China; 2. China A cademy of Civil A viation Science and Technology, Beijing 100028, China
  • Received:2025-06-14 Revised:2025-10-16 Online:2026-02-28 Published:2026-03-06

摘要: 为研究不同地域特征下机场吞吐量的驱动机理,本文采用Pears0n相关系数与熵权-灰色关联度相结合的方法展开分析。首先,搜集2006-2023年中国31个省级行政中心城市运输机场的旅客吞吐量、货邮吞吐量数据;其次,选取地区生产总值(GRP,gross regional product)、人民生活水平、旅游等9类一级驱动因素指标和19个二级驱动因素指标,并通过Pearson相关系数筛选出与机场吞吐量具有高相关性的驱动因素;最后,使用熵权-灰色关联度方法对筛选后的驱动因素进行加权分析和关联性排序,选择排序结果中前5的一级驱动因素指标作为机场吞吐量的关键驱动因素,并以天津滨海国际机场作为研究案例验证了该模型的有效性。结果表明,各驱动因素对机场吞吐量的影响差异性显著,表明不同地区的省级行政中心城市机场呈现出区域属性。本文研究结果可为不同驱动类型的机场未来规划及可持续发展提供参考。

关键词: 机场吞吐量, Pearson相关系数, 熵权-灰色关联度, 驱动因素

Abstract: To investigate the driving mechanisms of airport throughput under different regional characteristics, this papercarries out an analysis using an integrated approach combining Pearson correlation coefficients with entropy-weighted grey relational degree. First, the data of passenger as well as cargo and mail throughput data from trans-port airports in the 31 provincial-level administrative center cities of China between 2006 and 2023 were col-lected. Second, 9 categories of primary driving factor indicators, including gross regional product (GRP), peo-ple's living standards, tourism, ete., and 19 secondary driving factor indicators were selected, and Pearson cor-relation coefficients were used to select driving factors highly correlated with airport throughput. Finally, the en-tropy-weighted grey relational degree method was applied to the selected driving factors for weighted analysisand relational ranking, and the top five primary driving factor indicators from the ranking results were identifiedas key driving factors of airport throughput, with Tianjin Binhai Intemational Airport serving as a case study tovalidate the model's effectiveness. The results showed that the impacts of various driving factors on airportthroughput differ significantly, indicating that airports in provincial-level administrative center cities across dif-ferent regions exhibit regional characteristics. The research results of this paper can provide reference for futureplanning and sustainable development of airports with different driving patterns.

Key words: airport throughput, Pearson correlation coefficient, entropy-weighted grey relational degree, driving factors

中图分类号: