“一市三场”模式下上海第三机场发展策略研究

中国民航大学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 46-53.

“一市三场”模式下上海第三机场发展策略研究

1. 中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院，天津 300300； 2. 吉林省民航机场集团有限公司，长春 130124

收稿日期:2024-07-18 修回日期:2024-11-11 出版日期:2025-12-20 发布日期:2026-01-10
作者简介:李龙海（1971— ），男，黑龙江虎林人，副教授，硕士，研究方向为机场运行、机场工程.
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金民航联合研究基金重点支持项目（U2033208）

Research on the development strategy of Shanghai′s third airport under the

"one-city-three-airport" model

1. College of Transportation Science and Engineering, CAUC, Tianjin 300300, China; 2. Jilin Provincial Civil

Aviation Airport Group Co., Ltd., Changchun 130124, China

Received:2024-07-18 Revised:2024-11-11 Online:2025-12-20 Published:2026-01-10

1. “一市三场”模式下上海第三机场发展策略研究.pdf(2424KB)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为探究国内一市三场系统的发展方向，促进上海航空枢纽整体发展，本文选取了 5 个一级指标和 11 个二级指

标，建立适用于一市三场系统的一市多场发展模式评价指标体系。结合 G1 法、熵权法确定主客观权重，并利用

极差最大化组合赋权法确定组合权重，再基于逼近理想解排序（TOPSIS，technique for order preference by

similarity to ideal solution）法对各一市多场发展模式进行综合评价。结果表明：上海现行一市两场在货邮量上

极具优势，在机场间地面交通可达性和噪声影响方面也有较好表现，但在航线网络方面处于劣势。在吸取国际

一市三场经验的基础上，对上海第三机场提出 3 种不同的发展策略：国内客运干线机场，分流现行两机场部分

航班；低成本机场，吸引价格敏感旅客；辅助性低成本机场，承接现行两机场溢出客货需求。

关键词:

一市多场, 发展模式评价, 发展策略, 组合赋权, 逼近理想解排序（TOPSIS）法

Abstract:

To explore the development direction of a one-city-three-airport system in China and promote the coordinated

development of Shanghai as an aviation hub, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for multi-airport

development models in the context of one-city-three-airport systems, comprising five first-level indicators

and eleven second-level indicators. Subjective and objective weights are derived using the G1 method and the

entropy method, respectively, and are combined via a range-maximization combination-weighting procedure; the

various one-city-multi-airport development models are then evaluated using the technique for order preference

by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). Results indicate that Shanghai′s current one-city-two-airport system

exhibits significant advantages in cargo and mail throughput and performs well in inter-airport ground-accessibility and noise-impact metrics, but lags in route-network connectivity. Drawing on lessons from international

one-city-three-airport systems, the study proposes three strategic options for a third Shanghai airport: a domestic

trunk passenger hub airport to divert selected flights from the existing airports; a low-cost carrier (LCC)-oriented

airport to attract price-sensitive travelers; and an auxiliary LCC facility to accommodate overflow passenger and

cargo demand from the current airports.

Key words:

one-city-multi-airport system, development model evaluation, development strategy, combination weighting;

technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS)

中图分类号:

V351

李龙海, 李本钊, 刘钊搏 .

“一市三场”模式下上海第三机场发展策略研究

[J]. 中国民航大学学报, 2025, 43(6): 46-53.

LI Longhai , LI Benzhao , LIU Zhaobo.

Research on the development strategy of Shanghai′s third airport under the

"one-city-three-airport" model

[J]. Journal of Civil Aviation University of China, 2025, 43(6): 46-53.

参考文献 22

[1]	杨新湦, 邓通. 协同演化博弈“一市多场”一体化发展[J]. 综合运
	输, 2024, 46(1): 9-17, 60.
[2]	O′CONNOR K, FUELLHART K. Airports and regional air transport
	markets: a new perspective[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 2016,
	53: 78-82.
[3]	杨新湦, 闫岩. 我国区域性城市群与机场群的协调发展研究[J].综合运输, 2023, 45(11): 17-20, 59.
[4]	唐海燕, 刘振江. 成渝机场群运行效率评价实证分析[J]. 中国民航飞行学院学报, 2023, 34(6): 16-21.
[5]	张蕾, 孙伟, 宋彦. 世界级机场群航空网络时空演化特征与
	模式[J]. 地理学报, 2024, 79(6): 1540-1555.
[6]	王姣娥, 莫辉辉, 金凤君. 世界机场空间格局及对中国的启示[J]. 世界地理研究, 2008, 17(3): 8-18.
[7]	DE NEUFVILLE R. Planning for multiple airports in a metropolitan region[J]. Built Environment, 1984, 10(3): 159-167.
[8]	DE NEUFVILLE R. Management of multi-airport systems[J]. Journal of Air Transport Management, 1995, 2(2): 99-110.
[9]	BONNEFOY P A, DE NEUFVILLE R, HANSMAN R J. Evolution and
	development of multi-airport systems: worldwide perspective[J]. Journal
	of Transportation Engineering, 2010, 136(11): 1021-1029.
[10]	MANGOTTIRI V, BALAGANESH P, SUKUMARAN S, et al. AHP based impact assessment methodology for selecting land application strategies for biochar amended sewage-based compost[J]. Journal of the Institution of Engineers (India): Series A, 2024, 105(4): 1003-1015.
[11]	TEUNISSEN N M, BRENDEL J, ERNEST VAN HEURN L W, et al.Selection of quality indicators to evaluate quality of care for patients with esophageal atresia using a Delphi method[J]. European Journal of
	Pediatric Surgery, 2024, 34(5): 398-409.
[12]	YANG D C, MA Y Z. Application of combination weighting based on
	G1-MSE in QFD[J]. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2021, 2037
(1)	: 012050.
[13]	LI Y, ZHANG J P, HE Y Z, et al. Suitability evaluation method for preventive maintenance of asphalt pavement based on interval -entropy weight-TOPSIS[J]. Construction and Building Materials, 2023, 409:
	134098.
[14]	PINO-ORTEGA J, CLEMENTE F M, PALUCCI VIEIRA L H, et al.
	High-intensity curvilinear movements′ relevance in semi-professional
	soccer: an approach from principal components analysis[J]. Proceedings
	of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology, 2023, 237(4): 301-308.
[15]	李琳, 孙世岩, 曾雅琴, 等. 基于改进 CRITIC-Bayes 网络的激光
	武器毁伤效果评估方法[J]. 兵器装备工程学报, 2023, 44(7): 109-115.
[16]	王学军, 郭亚军. 基于 G1 法的判断矩阵的一致性分析[J]. 中国管理科学, 2006, 14(3): 65-70.
[17]	李刚, 李建平, 孙晓蕾, 等. 主客观权重的组合方式及其合理性研究[J]. 管理评论, 2017, 29(12): 17-26, 61.
[18]	王超, 杨紫霞, 崔春梅. 航空噪声预测及其影响评价方法研究[J].噪声与振动控制, 2023, 43(2): 230-236.
[19]	任爽, 陈轲超, 姚琨, 等. 机场噪声评价指标及烦恼度影响因素分析[J]. 安全, 2023, 44(4): 41-45.
[20]	国家环境保护局. 机场周围飞机噪声环境标准: GB 9660—1988[S].北京: 中国标准出版社, 1988.
[21]	NGUYEN D D, LEVY J I, KIM C, et al. Characterizing temporal trends in populations exposed to aircraft noise around U. S. airports: 1995 -2015[J]. Journal of Exposure Science & Environmental Epidemiology,
	2025, 35(1): 70-79.
[22]	WANG X Y, GUO X. Multi-airport system route network optimization
	based on differentiated positioning[J]. Journal of Physics: Conference
	Series, 2023, 2457(1): 012039．