中国民航大学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (4): 73-80.doi: 10.27055/j.1674-5590.2026.04.011

• 航空运输经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

政府补贴下航空物流服务链演化博弈分析

  

  1. 中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院,天津 300300
  • 收稿日期:2025-03-11 修回日期:2025-05-11 出版日期:2026-08-31 发布日期:2026-08-31
  • 作者简介:沈丹阳(1983— ),女,锡伯族,辽宁沈阳人,教授,博士,研究方向为航空物流.
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金后期资助项目(23FJYB042);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(3122024PT32)

Evolutionary game analysis of the air logistics service chain under government subsidies

  1. College of Transportation Science and Engineering, CAUC, Tianjin 300300, China
  • Received:2025-03-11 Revised:2025-05-11 Online:2026-08-31 Published:2026-08-31

摘要: 构建协同、稳定、高效的航空物流服务链是推动航空物流高质量发展的重要内容之一。政府补贴政策有利 于丰富航空网络、提升货邮吞吐量,国内多地政府的补贴政策均收效显著,但不同补贴情况对航空物流服 务链中各主体的影响及内在机理尚不明确。本文构建了包括政府、航空公司、机场和货运代理企业四方的 航空物流服务链结构模型,进行了演化博弈分析,并根据现行补贴实际,仿真分析了相关参数变化对各主 体行为决策的影响。 仿真结果验证了模型结构和演化分析中计算结果的正确性,证明了补贴政策能有效干 预航空公司和货运代理企业决策,以改变地区航线建设及促进货量增加。研究表明:不同主体决策变化对 航空物流服务链的影响存在差异,航空公司需政府补贴覆盖新开航线成本才会入驻,货运代理企业对补贴 数额的变化更敏感。最后,本文基于航空物流服务链长期运行的前提,对中国航空物流业的补贴方式提出 相关政策建议,以期为航空物流服务链协同发展提供参考

关键词: 演化博弈, 航空物流, 政府补贴

Abstract:  Building a collaborative, stable, and efficient air logistics service chain is one of the important aspects of pro鄄 moting high-quality development of air logistics. Government subsidy policies help to enrich the air transport network and improve cargo and mail throughput. At present, subsidy policies implemented by many local gov鄄 ernments in China have achieved remarkable results, but the impacts of different subsidy scenarios on various participants in the air logistics service chain and their internal mechanisms remain unclear. A structural model of the air logistics service chain involving governments, airlines, airports, and freight forwarding enterprises is constructed, and evolutionary game analysis is carried out. According to actual subsidy practices, simulation is conducted to analyze the influence of relevant parameter changes on the behavioral decisions of each partici鄄 pant. The simulation results verify the accuracy of the model structure and evolutionary analysis calculation re鄄 sults, and prove that subsidy policies can effectively influence the decision-making of airlines and freight for鄄 warding enterprises to adjust regional route construction and boost cargo volume growth. The research shows that the decision -making changes of different participants exert differentiated impacts on the air logistics service chain. Airlines will only enter the market when government subsidies can cover the costs of opening new routes. Freight forwarding enterprises are more sensitive to changes in subsidy amounts. Finally, based on the premise of the long-term operation of the air logistics service chain, this paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions on the subsidy modes for the Chinese air logistics industry, aiming to provide a reference for the collaborative development of air logistics service chain

Key words: evolutionary game, air logistics, government subsidies

中图分类号: